The near future of Cyprus, the disputed hub of the Eastern Mediterranean

By Piri ·

France’s June 2026 Status of Forces Agreement with Cyprus enables joint exercises, training, and rapid-response capabilities for French forces on the island. The United States is expanding bases at Evangelos Florakis and Andreas Papandreou, deploying Marines and V-22s, and using Cyprus as a logistics hub for operations in Lebanon and Israel, while Ankara and the TRNC oppose the moves.

Chapters

  1. French-Cypriot SOFA and Turkish Reaction
  2. Cyprus as EU Strategic Frontier
  3. France Seizes Cyprus Opportunity
  4. Limits of European Strategic Autonomy
  5. US Reaffirms Cyprus Presence
  6. US Infrastructure and Operational Hub
  7. Exposure Risks and Strategic Rivalry
  8. Three Levels of EU-US Competition
  9. Turkish Dual Rationale on Cyprus
  10. Turkish Response and Security Dilemma
  11. Cyprus as Fault Line Among Powers

Adapted from Lorenzo Maria Pacini.

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